Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.179162 0.208084 0.240227 0.278610 0.323217 0.373450 0.434351
2025-04-06 0.130868 0.168468 0.214752 0.275972 0.354930 0.453503 0.586186
2025-04-13 0.106347 0.146947 0.200567 0.276679 0.382184 0.523654 0.728448
2025-04-20 0.093584 0.137001 0.197730 0.289061 0.423366 0.614326 0.907800
2025-04-27 0.083422 0.128375 0.194449 0.298918 0.460614 0.702523 1.094150
2025-05-04 0.075053 0.120757 0.190979 0.307088 0.495231 0.789840 1.289590
2025-05-11 0.067006 0.112263 0.184656 0.309334 0.519984 0.863846 1.472580
2025-05-18 0.059416 0.103329 0.176228 0.306592 0.535514 0.923854 1.639039
2025-05-25 0.051961 0.093550 0.165014 0.297362 0.538272 0.961861 1.771265
2025-06-01 0.048323 0.089919 0.163785 0.305225 0.571675 1.056491 2.016158
2025-06-08 0.044196 0.084837 0.159277 0.306383 0.592633 1.130608 2.231653
2025-06-15 0.041219 0.081509 0.157524 0.312339 0.623083 1.225480 2.498490
2025-06-22 0.037056 0.075458 0.150062 0.306602 0.630608 1.278295 2.691163
2025-06-29 0.033689 0.070592 0.144360 0.303720 0.643606 1.343740 2.919218
2025-07-06 0.031093 0.066973 0.140697 0.304499 0.664125 1.426716 3.195088
2025-07-13 0.029959 0.066295 0.142989 0.318144 0.713763 1.576863 3.638211
2025-07-20 0.028656 0.065080 0.143977 0.329006 0.758526 1.721653 4.088385
2025-07-27 0.027302 0.063578 0.144148 0.338010 0.800113 1.864196 4.552231
2025-08-03 0.025576 0.061014 0.141640 0.340485 0.826719 1.975401 4.955507
2025-08-10 0.023636 0.057711 0.137056 0.337463 0.839734 2.056008 5.293804
2025-08-17 0.021431 0.053510 0.129892 0.327291 0.833896 2.090241 5.518816
2025-08-24 0.020563 0.052503 0.130279 0.335957 0.876528 2.249567 6.091336
2025-08-31 0.019340 0.050459 0.127885 0.337232 0.900237 2.363680 6.558401